Thoroughbred Handicappers - Check Out this Free Thoroughbred Handicapping System

By: Mike Beale


Finding profitable betting opportunities playing the horses is not as impossible as many people may say. The horse racing system described in this article is incredibly easy for you to use. It will be profitable for anybody who has the initiative to stay with the system’s three simple rules.

I will show you the rules, and then I will explain why the system works and review its advantages and disadvantages.

The Three Rules
1. The race must be a claiming race with the exception that it can not be a maiden claiming race. You can see if the race is a claiming race by looking at the race conditions at the top of either the past performances or the track program.

2. Calculate each horse’s LEPS, lifetime earnings per start. You do this by dividing each horse’s lifetime earnings by its lifetime starts. Look for the horse’s lifetime earnings and lifetime starts in the upper right corner of its racing listing.

3. Place a win bet on the horse that has the highest earning per start over its lifetime if it goes to post at 8-to-1 or higher odds.

The Reasons Why this Method is Profitable
Because the variability of genetics, all horses are not the same and they have different levels of ability. That is why there are different class levels in horse racing. As long as a race horse is in good condition, he will be an easy winner if he is entered in a race at a lower class level.

When a horse has met the requirements of these three rules, he will certainly have been competitive at higher class levels in the past. The horses selected by this system typically can’t win at their former class level because they have suffered injuries. So they become “betting tools.” The trainers keep racing these horses because they feel that the horses can still win at the lower class level once they become healthy again. The trainer knows that if the horse can return to its former form even for only a single race, it can be an easy winner against the lower class horses it will face in today’s race. So because of trainer manipulation, these horses win regularly and win suddenly without showing any signs of improvement. Also because of trainer manipulation, these horses will usually pay long shot odds.

Advantages and Weaknesses Using this Method
This system is a big money maker over an extended period of time and will usually return a profit of twenty to thirty percent for each dollar you wager. The weakest point of the system is the win percentthat will run from 10% to 14%. This means when you start using this system you should expect to see long streaks of consecutive losers.

The number or size of losing streaks you can expect from any system is determined by the method’s percentage of wins. Suppose for example that your percentage of wins was 14%, which is winning about one out of every seven bets. The anticipated largest losing streak for 1000 bets would be 34 losing wagers in a row. So if we make the assumption of 14% winners, according to the laws of probability there would also be 27 losing streaks of 10 or more losers in a row for each 1000 horses bet. This would mean you would be losing 10 or more consecutive losers about 37% of the time while you are using the method.

The percentage of winners is one of the most important factors to consider when evaluating any handicapping system. If you are looking for a handicapping system with a larger percentage of winners than this method, please consider “The Indicator Handicapping Method” at turfanalyst.com, my website.


About the Author:
The developer of the Indicator Handicapping Method, Mike Beale, is also known as the Turf Analyst. The insights and views that Mr. Beale brings to handicapping thoroughbred horses are truly useful and are based on his 35 plus years of experience as an active handicapper.

He has made available a free handicapping e-book which can be downloaded here:
turfanalyst.com

You can also view additional information on this subject at:
turfanalyst.com/betting-systems-horses.html